5/26/25 Market Review: Bet on innovation

Tech, Semi and Block chain continue to outperform

Questions (Checklist)

• Are recent breakouts working? – Improving

• Are there more net highs than lows? – Yes

• Last 5 trades working? – Getting some traction.

• Is the NASI trending up or down? – ✅ Up

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🧠 Market Thoughts
The market remains quite difficult for swing traders, but the trend is up. Avoiding opening positions at the open, and using logical low rather than low of day seems to be working best. As long as tech, semis, and blockchain are outperforming, I will keep trying to get positioned.

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VTG Risk Model 🟥🟧🟩
🟧 Yellow – Stay engaged, but with discipline.

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🧭 Mindset and Size

• Be selective. Only A+ setups with tight risk.

• Position size: 0.25× account risk per trade

• Swing exposure: Max 1% account heat

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🔥 Leading Stocks
SMR, PLTR, OKLO, TME, ASTS, NFLX, CRWW, TTWO, RKLB, CRDO, NBIS, VST, EAT, AVGO, CCJ, HOOD, UBER, GOGO, CPNG, CAR, SHOP, ZS, CRWD, NET, COIN, MSTR, GEV, RBLX, CRSR, PRCH, APLD, SE, RBRK

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📈 EDGE Tracker

• Previous: BMBL

  • Follow through but faded. HVC held.

• Current: CPNG, CORZ, RKLB

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🏗 Broad Market Structure

• SPY +0.78%, QQQ +0.94%, IWM +1.62%

• All three indices have 5 MA > 10 MA and 10 MA > 21 MA — strong short-term momentum

• However, the 50 MA is still below the 200 MA on SPY and IWM

• QQQ is the only index with a fully aligned stack (50 MA > 200 MA), confirming tech-led leadership

• IWM strength today is a good sign for risk-on appetite if it holds

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📊 Sector Overview (30-Day Relative Strength)
Leaders:

• XLK (Tech), XLC (Comm Services), XLE (Energy))

Weak:

• XLU (Utilities), XLY (Discretionary)

Defensive Laggards:

• XLRE (Real Estate), XLP (Staples) both red today and negative on 30-day RS

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🧪 Theme Overview
Leaders:

• SOXX (Semis), BLOK (Blockchain), BETZ (Sports/iGaming)

Fading:

• GDX (Gold), XBI (Biotech), MSOS (Cannabis)

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